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MAPS & FACTS™ UNLIMITED, INC. specializes in GIS (Geographic Information System) produced, architectural, driven, based, demographic, educational, and real estate maps to home buyers, brokers, developers, attorneys and lenders.


                  Map of the Month – April 2017

Projected House Prices

Maps & Facts has been tracking the median price changes of our representative “benchmark” house; i.e. built 1990 to 1999, $100,000 to $1 million, since 2001. (See March 2017 map). As our March 2017 map shows from 2015 to 2016 our benchmark increased from $259,000 to $270,000; an increase of 4.25% — still not back to our 2006 high of $302,000.

To see where the market may be going, as shown, this month we mapped all benchmark MLS house listings by MLS grid. As of April 19, the median list price was $409,900. While this number is a giant leap from 2016’s $270,000 median price, and not to be relied upon, it is due to major differences between our recorded sales data base and the MLS’s data base. The MLS data base includes a widely different mix of listing prices and Days on Market than does the recorded sales data base. For example, of the 2,440 MLS listings, 1,037 (42.5%) are listed above $450,000, and, have been on the market 100 days or longer.

A better guide is to examine each grid and compare current medians with past sales in that grid. Together, it is probable that prices for our benchmark houses will increase significantly this year!

Mls Grid 72

To download map click here: Projected House Prices (PDF)




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Phoenix Business Journal Article - April 24, 2009

Maricopa County Cities Median FCV Chart - 2006 through 2012
Condemnation Summit XII - 2013
Arizona Commercial Mortgage Lenders Association 04/14/2015

 


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