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To be added to our Map of the Month email list please click here: info@powermaps.com

Maps of the Month: 2008 * 2009 * 2010 * 2011 * 2012 * 2013 * 2014 * 2015 * 2016 * 2017 * 2018 * 2019 


 Map of the Month – January 2020

Where to Rent?


With Metro Phoenix’s soaring in-migration, newcomers wonder where to live. For this month’s Map of the Month, with CoStar’s help we identified all apartment projects over 200 units built since January 2015.  We then organized by apartment sub-market and then average rents as of 4th quarter 2019. The results are easily seen and compared below. 

 Mf Rents Sm 72

 To download map click here: Where to Rent? (PDF) 



 Map of the Month – February 2020

School Hot Spots


Maps & Facts has been tracking school performance based on State tests for over 25 years. While many factors influence school performance, we are often asked, “Where are the best K through 12 schools located?”

To answer this question for 2019, we have “layered” the top 12% of each Elementary, Middle, and High School and identified those locations where all three (3) grade levels are co-located.  We call it a “Trifecta” when all three (3) grade levels share the same geography. I.e.: a student in a top Elementary school can expect to attend top Middle and High schools without moving.

Deer Valley Unified District (North Phoenix)

Sandra Day O'Connor High School

Stetson Hills Middle School (K-8)

Stetson Hills School (K-8)

 

Scottsdale Unified District (North Scottsdale)

Desert Mountain High School

Desert Canyon Middle School

Desert Canyon Elementary

Redfield Elementary

 

Higley Unified School District (Gilbert)

Higley High School

Sossaman Middle School

Bridges Elementary School

Cortina Elementary

San Tan Elementary

Power Ranch Elementary 

As shown on the map below, in 2019 there were three (3) Trifectas starting, in two instances, with multiple Elementary school options. Also included below are individual maps for each Trifecta.

 Elemidhsazmerit Wide72

 To download map click here: School Hot Spots (PDF) 

& Zoomed Areas #1  #2   #3  (PDF)



 Map of the Month – March 2020

Single-Family Appreciation  2002-2019


Since 2001, Maps & Facts has tracked the annual change in median sales prices for a standardized data set of over 20,000 houses: i.e. all houses built between 1990 and 1999 which sold from $100,000 to $1 million between 2002 and 2019. While most studies include a broad mix of houses, our data base tracks the median appreciation/depreciation rates of the same house.  (i.e. paired sales)

As the chart and maps show, our data set’s median annual re-sale price increase for 2019 was 6.88%, in line with recent years.

Know that the annual per cent change in median price is nominal and:

·         Represents re-sales of the same houses, not price per square-foot.

·         Includes annual maintenance costs of between 1% and 2% of house value.

·         Excludes selling costs, often 5%.

·         Includes economic volatility including interest rates.

·         Includes inflation.

 72 

Chart

 To download map and chart click here: Single Family Appreciation (PDF)  



 Map of the Month – April 2020

Overview: Reported COVID- 19 Deaths Nationwide as of 4/24/2020

 

Sadly, this month’s map is a national overview highlighting states with the highest COVID-19 deaths. Understandably, the media focuses on major outbreaks – primarily on the east and west coasts. In a hopefully more positive view, it also shows those many states with the fewest deaths.  

 Usa Covid72

 To download map click here: COVID-19 Deaths Nationwide (PDF)  



 Map of the Month – May 2020

COVID Crash on House Sales

 

We, and a few million others, are anxious (afraid?) to learn how the Corona Virus has and will affect residential real estate. Anecdotal evidence suggests that the number of sales has declined but values have not. To get some clarification, for houses selling between $100,000 and $1,000,000, Maps & Facts has compared the number of closed sales for May 2019 with May 2020. The map below shows the relative changes by MLS grid geography.

Mls Grid-Maysalesdiff72

The numbers behind this months’ map show there were 37% fewer sales overall: but, an increase in the median sales price of 5.8%. (In keeping with our other studies.) 

 To download map click here: COVID Crash on House Sales (PDF)  



 Map of the Month – June 2020

Implied Impact of Covid-19 on Flagstaff House Prices  

Since the March outbreak of C-19, we have all been uneasy about residential real estate values. As a Flagstaff second homeowner, I took a deep dive into the Flagstaff single-family housing market to see how the market has trended since March 2020. (Disclosure: As owner/broker, my secluded 2250 SF townhouse at 4005 N. Tam O’Shanter Dr.is on the market for $429,900! - Property Link) 

For starters, we prepared the following PowerMap® comparing the 12-month change in single family median sales prices for May 2019 and May 2020.

Mls Regions


As shown, year-over-year, all Flagstaff MLS regions have increased in value; some more than others. The Northwest Rural Region and the Southeast City Regions experienced 10.34% and 13.49% increases. Not unexpectedly, West Rural and East Rural experienced nominal increases. Due to property type and buyer profiles, the more urban MLS Regions experienced increases from 4.38% to 7.58%. This compares favorably with the MLS’s annual appreciated rate of 3.34%


The Covid 19 challenge is understanding these changes since March 2020. The Northern Arizona MLS offers an excellent statistical summary.  Since March 2020, there were more new listings resulting in more active listings


At the same time, the March through May sold listing prices increased from about $370,000 to almost $400,000. I.e.: While the number of listings increased, so did sales prices.  


A similar benchmark is Days on Market. Since March 2020, DOM decreased indicating demand exceeded supply. According to the MLS the median sale price in May 2019 increased by 10.59% and by 8.57% year to date. 


In summary, since March 2020 values in the Flagstaff markets have increased and Days on Market have decreased. 


 To download map click here: Impact of COVID Crash on Flagstaff House Prices (PDF)  



 Map of the Month – July 2020

"Affordable" Subdivisions

While there are fewer entry level houses on the market today, many home-builders have pivoted from “move up” to “affordable”. This month’s map shows the locations of new subdivisions offering houses priced under $300,000. As seen, there are numerous choices especially along I-10 west and Loop 303.

Affordable Sf New

 To download map click here: Affordable Subdivisions (PDF)  


 Map of the Month – August 2020

Metro Phoenix #1 in Average Net Population Gain

 

Commercialcafé.com recently published a study based on U.S. Census Bureau MSA data showing that from 2013 through 2017 Metro Phoenix (which includes Pinal County) had the highest average annual population growth in the United States. (Thanks Lee & Associates!)

This month’s map shows the top 10 (SMA’s). As seen, while not number one, Texas had 3 of the top 5!

P Usa Migrationpop72

 To download map click here: Metro Phoenix #1 (PDF)  


Map of the Month – September 2020

Why We Live Here! 

 

Maps & Facts periodically updates our “Population Density” map shown below. It is still amazing that San Francisco and Manhattan’s populations, together, easily fit inside Phoenix’s political boundaries! 

This month we also compared population change for Phoenix (City of), San Francisco, and Manhattan. Interestingly, Phoenix, San Francisco, and Manhattan’s populations increased from 2017 through 2019. However, from 2019 to 2020, while Phoenix’s population continued to increase, San Francisco and Manhattan’s populations decreased.

One can speculate as to the many reasons. Regardless, there is a trend away from uber high density cities toward livable low-density cities − such as Phoenix. This trend will likely accelerate.

Phxsize 72

 To download map click here: Phoenix Size (PDF)  


Map of the Month – October 2020

Top 25 Private Schools 

 

Last week, the Phoenix Business Journal listed the top 25 private schools based on their Fall 2020 enrollment, copy attached. The oldest, Brophy College Prep (boys), # 3 on the list, was established in 1928. The next oldest, Xavier College Prep (girls), #4 on the list, was established in 1943. (Presumably Interrupted by the Great Depression and WW II).

The newest, St. John Paul II Catholic High School in Avondale, #22, was founded 90 years later in 2018.

As shown on this month’s map, the founding of private schools followed the outward growth of Metropolitan Phoenix’s population from the heart of Central Phoenix in 1928 to Avondale in 2018, and beyond.  

Top Private Schools

 To download map click here: Top 25 Private Schools (PDF)  


Map of the Month – November 2020

True Trade Areas Revisited

 

In July 2019, Maps and Facts published a trade area comparison created by a 5-mile ring versus a True Trade Area both based on the intersection of Lincoln Drive and Scottsdale Rd. (found here)

Ring 72

Tta 72

We recently had occasion to revisit this data and found it even more compelling. As shown in July 2019 and below:

·         The 5-mile ring included most of Paradise Valley and the densest retail area of the Salt River Indian Reservation (where no one lives)

·         The True Trade Area excluded all of Paradise Valley and all the reservation

Our message is – be careful using “ring” trade areas. If possible, use or convert to True Trade Area polygon analyses. 


 To download maps click here: True Trade Areas (PDF)  


Map of the Month – December 2020

Godspeed Thom Carson!

 

Godspeed Thom Carson!

Thom Carson is one of the most experienced GIS and real estate data analysts in Arizona, if not in the United States. After 15 years of preparing our monthly “Map of the Month” and assisting me in numerous complex appraisal and consulting assignments, it is time for Thom (tac@powermaps.com) to embark on a loftier and new GIS+ journey; and, for us to publish this, our last, Map of the Month.

Our Maps & Facts website (www.mapsandfacts.com) will maintain all past “Maps of the Month” and related GIS productions. You are welcome to copy any without copyright infringement.

Some of our most requested maps were our: 

·         School Performance map series (link)

                   Azmeritele72

·         True Trade Area map approach (link)

  Tta 72

 

·         Population Density map (link)

Phx-Size 72a

If you would include others, please let us know!  We will re-publish them!

In the meantime, Paul Johnson, MAI, CRE, remains available for real estate appraisal, consulting, and related expert services. (www.paulgjohnson.com)

Our Map of the Month and your feedback have been one of the most rewarding experiences of my career.  Thank you all!


 To download maps click here: Best of Maps of the Month (PDF)  


To be added to our Map of the Month email list please click here: info@powermaps.com

Maps of the Month: 2008 * 2009 * 2010 * 2011 * 2012 * 2013 * 2014 * 2015 * 2016 * 2017 * 2018 * 2019


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